Food prices will continue to rise in the coming January

According to the data released by the National Bureau of Statistics, among the 27 major food varieties monitored in 50 cities across the country, a total of 25 varieties have risen. Among them, the price of Chinese cabbage has risen by 11.3%, making it the largest increase among 27 varieties.

In addition to the stores, the price of the vegetable retail market is more directly reflected. In some vegetable retail markets, the reporter asked if there is any vegetable that sells for less than one yuan. The salesperson said that “Chinese cabbage is one dollar (per catty)”.

In this regard, some consumers believe that the increase in vegetable prices is due to "seasonal reasons, the days are getting colder, and the demand is approaching at the end of the year."

Although many parties have reported that food prices have risen, the store staff told reporters: “At present, no price adjustment notification has been received from the manufacturers. However, it may not be known whether there is price adjustment. The formal price adjustment notice has not come down, but has it been said verbally? The price increase is not known."

Another store staff claimed that the previous round of receiving the official price adjustment notice was for dairy products. In addition to dairy products during the Spring Festival, they had not received official price adjustment notices from other manufacturers, and “there was generally a promotion before and after the New Year. In the fight price."

As for the reasons for rising food prices, the investment adviser of the China Investment Advisor Food Industry Research Group analyzed with the “Securities Daily” reporter during an interview with the reporter that the rise in China’s food prices in December of the end of the year and in the beginning of the new year has become a law, mainly two factors. Overlaying: On the one hand, with the approaching Spring Festival, the market's demand for food has increased. On the other hand, due to the positive winter season, the growth cycle of vegetables, transportation difficulties and other factors have reduced the supply of vegetables on the market. In a situation where supply falls short of demand, rising food prices are inevitable.

Egg prices rose 6% in two months

According to the statistics released by the official website of the National Bureau of Statistics, in October's statistics, the prices of some foods such as meat and vegetables in the average prices of 50 major cities have fallen from the previous period, and they have started to rise or fall. Taking eggs as an example, in the Statistics Bureau's statistics from November 1 to November 10, 2012, the current price of eggs was 10.16 yuan, and in the statistics from January 1 to January 10, 2013, the price of eggs was 10.76. Yuan, the price of eggs rose by 6% in two months.

The increase in food prices has also led to an increase in its impact on CPI. According to the National Consumer Price Statistics released by the National Bureau of Statistics on December 11, 2013, the nation’s consumer price index rose by 0.8% in the last month of 2012, a year-on-year increase of 2.5%, and the CPI was on a year-on-year basis. The increase was 0.7% and 0.5% higher than that in November respectively, indicating an acceleration in the upward trend. The increase in CPI in December was mainly due to the sharp increase in food prices, especially vegetable prices.

Yu Qiumei, senior statistician of the Urban Statistics Department of the National Bureau of Statistics, answered the above data and believed that the national vegetable price rose by 17.5% month-on-month in December, affecting a total household price level of about 0.46 percentage points month-on-month, and accounting for about 57.5% of the total increase in CPI ring. Said that in the 0.8% CPI ring total increase, nearly 60% from the impact of rising vegetable prices. “According to the survey, vegetable prices in North China rose the most in December, with an average increase of 31.3%. Individual provinces were close to 40%, and some cities and counties were even close to 70%.” The official website of the National Bureau of Statistics shows.

Food prices will continue to rise in the coming January Analysts believe that food prices will continue to rise in the coming month. “The rise in food prices in recent months has seasonal factors, but circulation is also an important driver of rising prices, especially vegetables. Taking into account the holiday effect, food prices are likely to run high in the coming month. The influence of holiday effects is difficult to eliminate. In the future, if the government wants to prevent food prices from continuing to rise, it can only make efforts to reduce circulation and reduce circulation costs, said Xiang Jianjun.

In early 2013, the General Office of the Ministry of Commerce issued an emergency notice on further measures to stabilize the supply of fresh agricultural products in the market, and requested that in accordance with relevant regulations of the State Council, more supportive policies should be available for the circulation of agricultural products.

As a result, whether the price of circulation in the “last mile” of agricultural product prices will be reduced, and the military believes that domestic circulation costs are still an important factor in the higher prices of agricultural products. The current cost of domestic agricultural product circulation is 20%-25% is about 3 times that of foreign countries. At present, the country has realized that there are too many problems in the circulation of agricultural products, and through the formulation of policies that promote the intensification of agricultural production and the development of agricultural super-docking, there are certain results, but there are certain deviations, and the future needs to continue to explore.

In addition, to the Army's analysis, from a global perspective, an increase in food prices is an inevitable trend. First, as countries, especially developing countries, vigorously develop their economies, the arable land on a global scale appears to be gradually declining. Although agricultural production technology is improving, the rate of reduction of arable land is faster than that of technological progress, and the population is expanding rapidly. The quantity has made the supply of agricultural products even more inadequate. Second, agricultural products are the raw materials of many processed foods. The shortage of raw materials has forced the prices of processed foods to keep rising.

In response to this, the "Securities Daily" reporter has called several agricultural listed companies to ask whether there are current cost pressures, and the company's price policy around the Spring Festival, and other reasons, and the company said that it is inconvenient to comment.

However, Xiang Jian believes that under such an international environment, the cost of production of agricultural product enterprises landing in the capital market will inevitably rise. Therefore, it is suggested that: “First, to increase the scale and intensity of agricultural product cultivation is beneficial to the small reduction in production costs; Second, to extend the industrial chain and involve in the agricultural product processing business, this can not only reduce the agricultural product sales risk, It can also rely on the advantages of raw materials to get involved in higher-margin processing business, which is beneficial to the increase of income of the company.