The reason for the decrease in the price of broilers is that supply exceeds demand but not bird flu.

According to China Rural Voices, “Agriculture, Countryside, and Farmers” report, cases of H7N9 bird flu have been reported in Shanghai, Macau, and Shenzhen in recent days, once again causing people’s susceptibility to bird flu incidents and concerns about poultry breeding.

According to the reporter's understanding, the market conditions of broilers have been sluggish recently, broilers have taken slow goods, demand has been sluggish, and prices have fallen. So, what is the impact of this bird flu epidemic on the broiler market? Where can farmers go?

On January 13, the reporter visited the poultry and meat market in Shaanxi Shenmu County and found that the original depressed chicken price dropped slightly again. The average pound of chicken price dropped by one yuan. Afterwards, the reporter went to the Shenma County Majia Tower Office, Baoliwan Village, “Rising Rich Chicken Farm”. A batch of hairy chickens have just been slaughtered here, and several broiler dealers are ordering. "Rising Rich Chicken Farm" responsible person Miao Xianglin told reporters that although the current broiler market is generally showing a trend of decline, but close to the year, the recent sales are still good.

Reporter: How many chickens are there in our chicken farm now?

Miao Xianglin: It is now coming out. There are only two or three thousand left, and it is basically finished at the end of the year.

Reporter: There are also more people near the end of the year to buy chickens. How about the sales of chickens? How many chickens can you sell?

Miao Xianglin: The twelfth lunar month can sell about four or five thousand.

Reporter: Recently, the price of chicken, is it rising or falling?

Miao Xianglin: Certainly declined. That is about eight or fifty. In the past, when you sold for nine dollars, you could only sell fifty big ones and nearly sixty dollars, and one bad one.

In the early winter, bird flu epidemic was frequent. Currently, provinces and cities including Shanghai, Shandong, Zhejiang, and Shenzhen have successively exposed cases of H7N9 bird flu. This has caused some panic among poultry market practitioners. Miao Xianglin said that this is mainly reflected in a small number of birds. In areas with frequent flu epidemics, most areas have not been affected.

Miao Xianglin: It depends mainly on where and where bird flu has been produced. The chicken price in that place is definitely low. We have no influence in this place, so we sell it basically stable.

According to the data provided by Zhuo Chuang Information, last week, the national price of large meat and chicken continued downward trend, the average weekly price of 3.19 yuan / kg, the chain decreased by 0.16 yuan / kg, a decrease of 4.78%. The price of large meaty chickens in Shandong continued to be in a downtrend channel. The mainstream price in the market dropped from 3.30 yuan/kg to 2.85 yuan/kg, and fell by 13.64% in the week. Zhuo Creative Information Market Analyst Gao Xiang:

Gao Xiang: Recently, some major varieties in the market, such as the price of frozen chicken breasts, have fallen from 11.8 yuan per kilogram to 11.5 yuan per kilogram, a decrease of 2.54%; the price of large size kang has dropped from 10.3 yuan per kilogram to 9.9 yuan per kilogram. Kg, a decrease of 3.88%; more than 50g fin root product prices fell from 13.5 yuan / kg to 13.2 yuan / kg, a decrease of 2.22%.

In an interview, the reporter learned that live chickens have recently faced a continuing downward trend in prices for large meaty chickens. As of January 12, prices of large meaty chickens in Shandong have fallen to about 2.85 yuan per catty, compared with the same period last week. In comparison, the decrease reached 10.94%, and the farmers were in a loss state. Cui Xiaoming analyzed that the fall in the broiler market this time was mainly due to supply and demand.

Cui Xiaoming: The demand for terminals is still sluggish. The upcoming Spring Festival holiday has a limited effect on the market, and the segmented goods take off at a low speed. Slaughtered companies take different strategies to give priority to taking goods. There are plenty of stocks of slaughter chickens available on the market, and slaughter companies are producing at full capacity. Third, farmers are eager to slaughter.

Chuang Xiaoming, an analyst at Zhuo Chuang Information Market, said that from next week, slaughter companies will continue to suspend production and farmers will rush to slaughter slaughter plants before the holiday, which will further affect the market price of chickens and large meat.

Cui Xiaoming: At that time, Maoji will focus on the farmers' market. The price of the chicken on the farmer's market may be higher than that of the slaughter companies. However, compared with the number of slaughter companies, the number of goods on the farmers' market is very large. limited.

Focusing on the psychological panic among farmers in epidemic-prone areas, Zhuo Xiaoming, an information market analyst at Zhuo Chong, stressed that the main reason for the current round of price decline was supply exceeding demand, not bird flu, and farmers need not be too nervous.

Cui Xiaoming: In recent days, the current number of chickens is insufficient, and the speed at which the segmented goods take delivery is not fast. The main cause of the current sluggish white broiler market is the oversupply of the market rather than bird flu. Therefore, farmers need not be overly alarmed by bird flu.

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